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16 Points, 13 League Games


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2 minutes ago, petehinton said:

And also, note how they waited until they were losing to reveal the banners. How strong and noble of them…

Have a lot of time and respect for Palace as a club and fanbase, but what they did yesterday was pretty cringe imo. 

Or they focused their support to the team until the end when they revealed the banner? 
 

I say fair play to them. They don’t really seem to have a plan and just waiting for Roy to go. Must make it nigh on impossible to sign players. They are lucky there are some awful teams this year. 

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15 minutes ago, JackofromSanJavier said:

Sadly, I suspect that we'll continue struggling to break down championship teams for the remainder of the season………..but go on to win the bloody FA Cup!

 

Finish 21st on GD and win the F.A. Cup ?!

I will take that now !! 👍

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3 hours ago, And Its Smith said:

I’m over worrying about what those people say and do.  Tinnion obviously has his strengths but I don’t think he’s suited to the role he is in.  Jon Lansdown doesn’t seem capable either.  I’d prefer to just judge Manning on what I believe is fair and realistic.  I’ve said before, I’d rather give a manager too long than not long enough.  If there are signs of progress and momentum come September/October then personally, I will be happy.   I can certainly see what you are saying but I just can’t be bothered to waste any emotion or energy on the senior management of this club 

I’m the same as far as Manning goes tbf. You can’t do what isn’t realistically possible.

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1 hour ago, headhunter said:

Sykes is a starter for me but where does Naismith now fit in a first X1?

If you are labelling Atkinson as a starter when fit then what is your best picks line up and in what formation [accepting that the matchday squad is 20 which offers plenty of scope for change]?

Skies starts all day long, but Naismith & Atkinson, currently, for more squad depth, rotation & changing things from the bench. 

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1 hour ago, ray savino said:

LM was given a 3.5 year contract wasn’t he? 
 

Year One (and this season the half year!) Next Season 24/25

I would suspect that he will need a turnover of squad to accommodate players that will perform more comfortably in the roles he wants for his team. Plus a pre-season of coaching on the grass, I reckon we’re going to see next season as the one of change not challenge the top.

Year Two Season 25/26

I would expect we should have a squad and team looking like it is challenging for play-offs.

Year Three Season 26/27

Serious challengers for promotion via play-offs or even auto. (Plus 10 year anniversary celebration of our defeat of Manchester United).

Whether I’m happy about the timescale as a fan is immaterial (unless of course performances don’t markedly improve consistently to give us fans real belief - thereby potential for drop off in attendances). That is all up to the owners and what they need to invest again to back the manager.

Given that it would appear that there won’t be risky huge amounts of cash to spend for a quick go at success and the sort of young players to develop that we seem to want to sign, then inevitably it looks like another significant amount of time and patience that we are going to have to have before we have a tangible squad to become one of the favourites for top six and not just an optimistic outside bet/dark horse.

If Manning doesn’t come up to scratch in this time, or he does and is poached by a bigger club, I would at least hope that the changes the club have decided to make will would mean they would stick to their strategy and appoint a replacement that would suit the style and properly have a succession plan.

Meanwhile if we can’t win trophies or get promotion, let’s hope we can see more performances with the passion and commitment we saw in the cup games, starting on Friday.

The problem for me RS is that Manning’s 26/27 was Nige’s 24/25….why delay that by 2 years.  I really expected Nige to settle on the progress path this season, ready to attack promotion next season.

FWIW I expect Manning to give it a shot next season too.  He doesn’t get 3 years / x windows.  He came in on firm foundations ready for a push.  I didn’t expect it this season.

 

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14 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

For me, this shows how sequence of fixtures, opposition type, etc can sway mood.

The next 6 games are a classic split of “good” teams and “not so good” teams…and I would think it’s fair to judge after the next 6 not the next 3 if you’re looking at it that way.

For me, I’m sticking to Coventry being my first real evaluation point.  I chose that because it coincided with the window closing, so we’d not just see how he’s fared across a range of opponents in 14 games, but also recruitment in / out.  I didn’t choose that because Nige also had 14, that’s a coincidence.

Why would a head-coach coming in want to change the style overnight.  There wasn’t a huge amount wrong really.  My expectations were that we wouldn’t regress over 14 games.  I think a few games of Forming and Storming, then some progress to make up for the short-term regress.

I am getting a little fed up of:

We’ve only had 9 sessions

I can’t remember the last time I had a week with the players

For info, he had 6 days between Millwall and West Ham and another 6 days after that between West Ham and Preston.

Yes, 6 days isn’t a week, but if you can’t create a training regime in 6 days, you’re coaching in the wrong league / country imho.

you’re gonna be horrified to find out his win percentage is currently worse than Nige’s across Nigel’s whole time here which included that horrible 3 month spell in 20/21.

I’m keen to understand what you see as the marked improvements?  There are some, but what do you think they are?  You are very selective in the games you choose!

Didn’t have you down as someone to look at win percentages so closely Dave! 

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5 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Why would a head-coach coming in want to change the style overnight.  

To be fair to Liam, perhaps because that is what Tinnion said we wanted! Front foot football (whatever that means) that would have us challenging for the top 6 with our top end squad.

So the Technical Director dictates the style of play and the Head Coach is expected to deliver it.

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1 minute ago, chinapig said:

To be fair to Liam, perhaps because that is what Tinnion said we wanted! Front foot football (whatever that means) that would have us challenging for the top 6 with our top end squad.

So the Technical Director dictates the style of play and the Head Coach is expected to deliver it.

If I came in as an owner first thing I would do is appoint an established DOF and remove all the legacy players from this club. Too cosy. 

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21 minutes ago, ChrisJ said:

Sorry there were times under Pearson where we were awful. And yes there were Better times but I can assure you that SOME clubs in this league would’ve sacked Pearson far sooner. It was not good for large spells. But I will say he had a horrible hand and did ok considering the circumstances. Also had awful times under Holden and LJ. Manning needs time Pearson got time and LJ got time so according to some on here Manning doesn’t deserve time others are wishing him to fail clearly!!!! I have some confidence in what I’ve seen we are going down a different route and already some players are getting better under Manning. Williams, Mehmeti, Pring are getting better funny how people forget about that!!

Absolute effing horseshit. 😡😡😡 Sane as the other poster who alluded to that who I’ve forgotten…pillred was it?

Nobody wants him to fail.

You are not taking into account the situation that Manning came into.  A well executed rebuild by Nige.  Therefore the expectations of time it will take to move us forward is lessened.

Holden didn’t get time did he?

I’m happy with Manning, but imho, I’ve seen a lot of smoke blown up his arse without much substance.  As you’ll know I’m massively into my stats.  They show very little to justify anything other than we pass the ball a bit more, we block a bit more than press.  The fundamentals of goals, quality of chances both for and against are remarkably similar.  I’d summarise my 13 game view, as we are playing a bit differently for the same results.

I’m happy with that.  I do expect the trend to start going up at some point this season though.  The replacement of Nige with LM wasn’t to stand still, was it?  It was ridiculous to point at promotion, admittedly.  But somewhere in between???

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14 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

The problem for me RS is that Manning’s 26/27 was Nige’s 24/25….why delay that by 2 years.  I really expected Nige to settle on the progress path this season, ready to attack promotion next season.

FWIW I expect Manning to give it a shot next season too.  He doesn’t get 3 years / x windows.  He came in on firm foundations ready for a push.  I didn’t expect it this season.

 

I think a play off shot next season is to be expected. Not this season.  If we just missed out next season then I would give him another.  If next season was another 10-14th finish then we’d have to think again I expect.  Unless the 10th was only 4-5 points off the play offs. 

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34 minutes ago, ChrisJ said:

Sorry there were times under Pearson where we were awful. And yes there were Better times but I can assure you that SOME clubs in this league would’ve sacked Pearson far sooner. It was not good for large spells. But I will say he had a horrible hand and did ok considering the circumstances. Also had awful times under Holden and LJ. Manning needs time Pearson got time and LJ got time so according to some on here Manning doesn’t deserve time others are wishing him to fail clearly!!!! I have some confidence in what I’ve seen we are going down a different route and already some players are getting better under Manning. Williams, Mehmeti, Pring are getting better funny how people forget about that!!

Who is wishing the manager to fail?

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Just now, And Its Smith said:

I think a play off shot next season is to be expected. Not this season.  If we just missed out next season then I would give him another.  If next season was another 10-14th finish then we’d have to think again I expect.  Unless the 10th was only 4-5 points off the play offs. 

Yes, agreed Dave.

Thats exactly as I see it too.  Blige 😁😁😁

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35 minutes ago, ChrisJ said:

Yes well said the club shot itself in the foot with its comms we don’t have a top 6 squad so why say it!!!! Took us for fools. I actually don’t have issue with the NP decision and I understand why they got manning look at other champ clubs they are all doing it Millwall, Swansea, Plymouth Sheff Wed QPR seem to be all the rage now and they all need time!!!!

Plymouth lost a manager who was going well through no fault of their own and some key players too. Too early to say but they're quite an open side and at home especially should keep ticking over.

QPR and Sheffield Wednesday improved yes but were doing so badly the only way was up in some ways. Sheffield Wednesday had 2 points from 10 which saw Munoz get sacked, 3 from 11 after 1 caretaker game. You're talking record breaking bad.

Think QPR had 1 home win in 10 months, a year or something farcical.

Millwall win some lose some, Swansea too early to say.

Otoh Mowbray should stabilise Birmingham.

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20 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

The problem for me RS is that Manning’s 26/27 was Nige’s 24/25….why delay that by 2 years.  I really expected Nige to settle on the progress path this season, ready to attack promotion next season.

FWIW I expect Manning to give it a shot next season too.  He doesn’t get 3 years / x windows.  He came in on firm foundations ready for a push.  I didn’t expect it this season.

I agree because for me the reason that 2024/25 is the target season for a "push" isn't because it would have been Pearson's 4th full season in charge.

It's always been the target season because factors other than the identity of the manager align in that season. Finances, squad age, FFP freedom etc. Those things don't change when we swap from one manager to another. 

Secondly, it's the CLUB that should be aiming for a push in 24/25. That timeline should be part of the meta-plan that the directors and owners have, and managers should be recruited in order to give that plan the best chance of success.

If that's why Manning was recruited then on. But as you say, that means he should be expected to orchestrate a proper assault on the top 6 next season.

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4 hours ago, Silvio Dante said:

I’m unsure that we’ll have the quality to be the best at that style as it will need more investment than I think we’ll put in (Fevs has mentioned if you look at Martin it works better at Soton than Swansea because he has better players), and my gut is that we’ll see a mid table team next year, just with a bit of a different style.

I think it's fair to say that any style will work better with better players.   The quality of player is always going to put a ceiling on the level of success you will have.   

I do think the style we are moving to under Manning has a better chance of getting more from the players.  Given our level of finances compared to teams with parachute payments, we need to find a way of playing that elevates the team over the individual.  When the emphasis is on the system they play to is elevated, you do not rely on star performers to get success.  (You still need intelligent, coachable decent players though).  The upshot being that when someone does come in to buy your better performers the team isn't overly reliant on them because the strength is the system.  You also know what you need to replace them because you know what the system needs. You aren't looking to replace an 'Alex Scott', you are looking to replace the role he does in the system.  Succession planning for the here and now (and if we are looking to upgrade because we get promoted) becomes easier at least in terms of being clear about what's needed.  Same goes for academy recruitment and coaching.  No guarantee you'll find those players with your finances within any given window though.  

Maybe that's why Scott Twine hasn't reached the heights he did under Manning?  Because he needs some structure within which to play his best football.  Maybe that's why Oxford aren't fairing so well without Manning now.  Because the same players aren't able to perform as well collectively without the system and patterns of play he was coaching?

I am not a fan of this threads.  I appreciate that results and points on the board is ultimately to only objective measure of success, but sneaking an extra couple of points here and there isn't a real measure of a team's development for me.   We all know promotion challenging football when we see it - as we did under Cotts - without needing to check the points tally per game.

I don't know if Manning is the answer, but I am happy to give him the rest of the season, a couple of transfer windows, and a full preseason to really make an full assessment.  For me, I have seen enough to be encouraged so far. 

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12 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Absolute effing horseshit. 😡😡😡 Sane as the other poster who alluded to that who I’ve forgotten…pillred was it?

Nobody wants him to fail.

You are not taking into account the situation that Manning came into.  A well executed rebuild by Nige.  Therefore the expectations of time it will take to move us forward is lessened.

Holden didn’t get time did he?

I’m happy with Manning, but imho, I’ve seen a lot of smoke blown up his arse without much substance.  As you’ll know I’m massively into my stats.  They show very little to justify anything other than we pass the ball a bit more, we block a bit more than press.  The fundamentals of goals, quality of chances both for and against are remarkably similar.  I’d summarise my 13 game view, as we are playing a bit differently for the same results.

I’m happy with that.  I do expect the trend to start going up at some point this season though.  The replacement of Nige with LM wasn’t to stand still, was it?  It was ridiculous to point at promotion, admittedly.  But somewhere in between???

I dunno Dave, I for one spend £400 on a ST, spend however many extra hundreds a year travelling to as many away days as possible, and each game I have my fingers crossed that we lose so that the manager fails. 
 

It’s just honest logic. 
 

🤣🤣🤣

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7 minutes ago, And Its Smith said:

If you listed forum users from top to bottom, patient to non patient I think we would both be near the top! 

I think as a fan base, rather than OTIB, we are a pretty patient bunch.  I think Pearson was quite surprised at times how much fans appreciated the difficult circumstances under which he was expecting to operate. 

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1 minute ago, Red Skin said:

I think as a fan base, rather than OTIB, we are a pretty patient bunch.  I think Pearson was quite surprised at times, at the fans appreciated the difficult circumstances under which he was expecting to operate. 

Some of us have had 30+ years of training! 

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2 hours ago, ray savino said:

LM was given a 3.5 year contract wasn’t he? 
 

Year One (and this season the half year!) Next Season 24/25

I would suspect that he will need a turnover of squad to accommodate players that will perform more comfortably in the roles he wants for his team. Plus a pre-season of coaching on the grass, I reckon we’re going to see next season as the one of change not challenge the top.

Year Two Season 25/26

I would expect we should have a squad and team looking like it is challenging for play-offs.

Year Three Season 26/27

Serious challengers for promotion via play-offs or even auto. (Plus 10 year anniversary celebration of our defeat of Manchester United).

Whether I’m happy about the timescale as a fan is immaterial (unless of course performances don’t markedly improve consistently to give us fans real belief - thereby potential for drop off in attendances). That is all up to the owners and what they need to invest again to back the manager.

Given that it would appear that there won’t be risky huge amounts of cash to spend for a quick go at success and the sort of young players to develop that we seem to want to sign, then inevitably it looks like another significant amount of time and patience that we are going to have to have before we have a tangible squad to become one of the favourites for top six and not just an optimistic outside bet/dark horse.

If Manning doesn’t come up to scratch in this time, or he does and is poached by a bigger club, I would at least hope that the changes the club have decided to make will would mean they would stick to their strategy and appoint a replacement that would suit the style and properly have a succession plan.

Meanwhile if we can’t win trophies or get promotion, let’s hope we can see more performances with the passion and commitment we saw in the cup games, starting on Friday.

I think where I'm at with this is - 

As a fan, it's hard to buy into a 'rebuild' or another project when it was stated that Liam was brought in here to get the best out of the current squad through on the grass coaching. 

Also, most of us probably felt as if a rebuild or another project wasn't needed. Just evolution. 

I hear people saying he needs his own players etc. But I don't know. Surely he needs to adapt to the players hes got? 

This team is better than 1 goal in 4 league games. 

What's currently going round in my mind is, if Manning continues to not get the best out of this squad, how can we be sure that even with his own players, he will get the best out of them? 

We then may find ourselves in a position where we once again have to have a rebuild of the rebuild. 

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One thing that is absolutely guaranteed is that when City win, OTIB will be full of posts praising Manning, and every time we lose or don't play well, he'll be criticised. It will be perpetual 'I told you so'. Always been that way, always will be.

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10 minutes ago, Red Skin said:

I think it's fair to say that any style will work better with better players.   The quality of player is always going to put a ceiling on the level of success you will have.   

I do think the style we are moving to under Manning has a better chance of getting more from the players.  Given our level of finances compared to teams with parachute payments, we need to find a way of playing that elevates the team over the individual.  When the emphasis is on the system they play to is elevated, you do not rely on star performers to get success.  (You still need intelligent, coachable decent players though).  The upshot being that when someone does come in to buy your better performers the team isn't overly reliant on them because the strength is the system.  You also know what you need to replace them because you know what the system needs. You aren't looking to replace an 'Alex Scott', you are looking to replace the role he does in the system.  Succession planning for the here and now (and if we are looking to upgrade because we get promoted) becomes easier at least in terms of being clear about what's needed.  Same goes for academy recruitment and coaching.  No guarantee you'll find those players with your finances within any given window though.  

Maybe that's why Scott Twine hasn't reached the heights he did under Manning?  Because he needs some structure within which to play his best football.  Maybe that's why Oxford aren't fairing so well without Manning now.  Because the same players aren't able to perform as well collectively without the system and patterns of play he was coaching?

I am not a fan of this threads.  I appreciate that results and points on the board is ultimately to only objective measure of success, but sneaking an extra couple of points here and there isn't a real measure of a team's development for me.   We all know promotion challenging football when we see it - as we did under Cotts - without needing to check the points tally per game.

I don't know if Manning is the answer, but I am happy to give him the rest of the season, a couple of transfer windows, and a full preseason to really make a full assessment.  For me, I have seen enough to be encouraged so far. 

Just my view, but I think you’ve got more chance as a non-PP club of getting to the PL over PP clubs by playing something other than “Martin-ball” (ala Manningball).

My opinion, was that we would be better off trying to be Luton style than Southampton.  We don’t have the resources to match the quality of “footballers” as them, so try something different.

Brentford prove your point thought (👍🏻), but they did it through excellence in recruitment by and large..

I think strength is in players not systems.

That slightly contradicts my Luton point, but Luton weren’t competing with those Martin-ball teams for recruitment, they were looking at vastly different pools of players, predominantly cheaper ones too.

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3 minutes ago, W-S-M Seagull said:

I think where I'm at with this is - 

As a fan, it's hard to buy into a 'rebuild' or another project when it was stated that Liam was brought in here to get the best out of the current squad through on the grass coaching. 

Also, most of us probably felt as if a rebuild or another project wasn't needed. Just evolution. 

I hear people saying he needs his own players etc. But I don't know. Surely he needs to adapt to the players hes got? 

This team is better than 1 goal in 4 league games. 

What's currently going round in my mind is, if Manning continues to not get the best out of this squad, how can we be sure that even with his own players, he will get the best out of them? 

We then may find ourselves in a position where we once again have to have a rebuild of the rebuild. 

To answer your last point, to get around that we would just to have to appoint a replacement who coached similar patterns of play and could work with the squad.  A head coach model rather than a manager model. This, in my opinion, is our first real step towards that model 

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2 minutes ago, ChrisJ said:

I recon there are definitely some of our fan base all be it small who want us to lose games just so they can say Nige was right etc - I’m not saying everyone just a ver minor number! And for what it’s worth I don’t think manning is the next big thing or the next sir Alex but he needs time!!! That is not an unreasonable expectation so he can stamp his footprint on the side. I have no issue with anyone saying what they think however some people here are being slightly unrealistic!!! 

I don’t think anyone wants us to lose but if we do lose they like the ammunition it gives them to moan about whatever their agenda is. 

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3 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Just my view, but I think you’ve got more chance as a non-PP club of getting to the PL over PP clubs by playing something other than “Martin-ball” (ala Manningball).

My opinion, was that we would be better off trying to be Luton style than Southampton.  We don’t have the resources to match the quality of “footballers” as them, so try something different.

Brentford prove your point thought (👍🏻), but they did it through excellence in recruitment by and large..

I think strength is in players not systems.

That slightly contradicts my Luton point, but Luton weren’t competing with those Martin-ball teams for recruitment, they were looking at vastly different pools of players, predominantly cheaper ones too.

Also with most clubs trying to play 'Manningball' with younger new coaches , it strikes me our best chance was to be slightly different. A la 'Pearsonball'

Our shiny new intelligent coach ain't gonna be so good in a division of shiny new intelligent coaches 

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5 minutes ago, And Its Smith said:

I don’t think anyone wants us to lose but if we do lose they like the ammunition it gives them to moan about whatever their agenda is. 

I can’t believe how a couple of Nige-moaners have suddenly become Liam-moaners and Nige-luvvers!  I think they just like to moan about the current!

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2 minutes ago, cidercity1987 said:

Also with most clubs trying to play 'Manningball' with younger new coaches , it strikes me our best chance was to be slightly different. A la 'Pearsonball'

Our shiny new intelligent coach ain't gonna be so good in a division of shiny new intelligent coaches 

I posted earlier on in the season that Luton and Sheffield Utd didn't get to the premier league by playing the best football. 

They got there on hard work, desire, determination, belief etc. In this modern day, those things are really over looked but they are massive. They are probably over looked because you can't put a stat on them! 

It's how we got to the play off final before. 

We saw against West Ham in both games that when the fans and the players come together, something special can happen. 

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8 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Just my view, but I think you’ve got more chance as a non-PP club of getting to the PL over PP clubs by playing something other than “Martin-ball” (ala Manningball).

My opinion, was that we would be better off trying to be Luton style than Southampton.  We don’t have the resources to match the quality of “footballers” as them, so try something different.

Brentford prove your point thought (👍🏻), but they did it through excellence in recruitment by and large..

I think strength is in players not systems.

That slightly contradicts my Luton point, but Luton weren’t competing with those Martin-ball teams for recruitment, they were looking at vastly different pools of players, predominantly cheaper ones too.

 

3 minutes ago, cidercity1987 said:

Also with most clubs trying to play 'Manningball' with younger new coaches , it strikes me our best chance was to be slightly different. A la 'Pearsonball'

Our shiny new intelligent coach ain't gonna be so good in a division of shiny new intelligent coaches 

It’s a point I’ve made a few times - if everybody (or a large percentage) of teams want to play the same way, then you either need better players in that system than anyone else, or a better coach (including most key in game adaptability) than anyone else in order to finish near the top.
 

In the first point, we aren’t going to be buying the best players - we simply don’t have that muscle - and we certainly don’t have it within this squad who aren’t set up to play that way. Our reliance then seems to be that LM is a markedly better coach than the other teams who want to play this way have. And whether people like/don’t like rate/don’t rate him that's undoubtedly a gamble.

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9 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Just my view, but I think you’ve got more chance as a non-PP club of getting to the PL over PP clubs by playing something other than “Martin-ball” (ala Manningball).

My opinion, was that we would be better off trying to be Luton style than Southampton.  We don’t have the resources to match the quality of “footballers” as them, so try something different.

Brentford prove your point thought (👍🏻), but they did it through excellence in recruitment by and large..

I think strength is in players not systems.

That slightly contradicts my Luton point, but Luton weren’t competing with those Martin-ball teams for recruitment, they were looking at vastly different pools of players, predominantly cheaper ones too.

Maybe so, but it all depends what you want from football. 

I want to see decent football over getting promotion.  Be nice to get promotion playing decent football though.   To perfectly honest I was more annoyed with the amount of Watford fans in the Tobacco Factory making it harder for me to get a pint in than anything I seen during the game!  Bloody liberty! 

I guess the point I was making is we can't compete to sign 'star' players.  We will also struggle to keep our 'star' player so we have to develop a team that better collectively that the individuals that make it up.  Easy to say, but not easy to do.  

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1 minute ago, Red Skin said:

I guess the point I was making is we can't compete to sign 'star' players.  We will also struggle to keep our 'star' player so we have to develop a team that better collectively that the individuals that make it up.  Easy to say, but not easy to do.  

As we always get so close to agreeing on everything, have a “like”. I think our diagnosis is identical here but we may disagree on the medicine - so that’s something!

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2 minutes ago, Silvio Dante said:

As we always get so close to agreeing on everything, have a “like”. I think our diagnosis is identical here but we may disagree on the medicine - so that’s something!

Hmmm, yes it seems that way.   I've always played the long game on medicine too.   Lifestyle changes to affect the long-term wellbeing rather than running to the docs for a quick fix to cure the latest ailment before lurching on to next crisis!  

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1 hour ago, Silvio Dante said:

So if we are looking at a 3.5 year time line as Rays post articulates

I’m not particularly happy with yet another rebuild that could take at least 2 years or more. But without substantial investment (in terms of our clubs financial position) I can’t see it being anything but a gradual process again with the way Manning wants to play. 

Coventry look to be well ahead in terms of a settled philosophy/strategy, but then they’ve been building with Robins in charge since their dark days of League 2. In contrast we seemed to flip flop between trying to find the coach and style we think we need.

Pearson was a firefighter. It was a shitshow by the end of LJ/MA/DH, with too many underperforming players and a bloated wage bill to match. NP and Gould helped put the club on a more stable footing without suffering our usual relegation after such a disappointing previous period. To be fair, LJ had his moments (with good backing), but ultimately it all fizzled out and failed.

Now we seem a relatively comfortable if not somewhat underwhelming mid table team, at least there’s the chance to build now. That is largely down to the NP /Gould stewardship.

Sad the way NP leaving was handled, we needed his type at the time. We needed him 8 years younger I believe. But now it was decided we needed a new coach to progress fair enough. Pearsons sacking isn’t LM’s fault, he’ll need backing and time from the Board and the fans.

If it doesn’t work out, then the decision makers will have to take ultimate responsibility for the directions and decisions they have made. We as fans can’t decide the manager. The owners can and do. If it comes off they’ll take the success, if it doesn’t they’ll take the flak.

 

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

Absolute effing horseshit. 😡😡😡 Sane as the other poster who alluded to that who I’ve forgotten…pillred was it?

Nobody wants him to fail.

You are not taking into account the situation that Manning came into.  A well executed rebuild by Nige.  Therefore the expectations of time it will take to move us forward is lessened.

Holden didn’t get time did he?

I’m happy with Manning, but imho, I’ve seen a lot of smoke blown up his arse without much substance.  As you’ll know I’m massively into my stats.  They show very little to justify anything other than we pass the ball a bit more, we block a bit more than press.  The fundamentals of goals, quality of chances both for and against are remarkably similar.  I’d summarise my 13 game view, as we are playing a bit differently for the same results.

I’m happy with that.  I do expect the trend to start going up at some point this season though.  The replacement of Nige with LM wasn’t to stand still, was it?  It was ridiculous to point at promotion, admittedly.  But somewhere in between???

As you say, while all the footbally stats are pretty similar, one bit I would be interested in is the average age of the starting XIs fielded in the first part of the season compared to under Manning.

It feels to me like we’re fielding more experienced teams with fewer minutes for some of our academy players, but I may be wrong…

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8 minutes ago, The Journalist said:

As you say, while all the footbally stats are pretty similar, one bit I would be interested in is the average age of the starting XIs fielded in the first part of the season compared to under Manning.

It feels to me like we’re fielding more experienced teams with fewer minutes for some of our academy players, but I may be wrong…

Thats my observations too. 

Manning is also getting less out of a squad which has a greater availability than it did under Nige. 

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4 hours ago, W-S-M Seagull said:

I don't know where to begin with this. 

You note a very marked improvement? Where's the marked improvement in 4 games without a league win and only 1 goal in 4 league games? 

How was losing on pens to FGR a real low point? 

What strikes me is that in Pearsons first full season here, people forget the shite players he had available to him, yet they use that as a stick to beat him with. 

I've failed to find one single positive in your post about Pearsons time here and I think that says it all so I'm not going to even bother unpicking the rest of the bs you have wrote. 

Thats fine if you dont agree with my opinion. To write it off as BS isnt that helpful though. Happy to explain on a one to one if you would prefer.

Some really good follow up posts from Midland Red, Ray Savino and LondonBristoliam however. 

Re FGR and Lincoln; they were both cup exits which are real lows if you want your team to be be doing well in competitions as we did under SC, LG and now hopefully LM. If you attended those two games you'd know how embarrassed all fans felt at the end. You may not find too many positives in any post on Pearson; he had a hard job, like most managers he was well paid to do that job. He was the 2nd biggest disappointment of all time (after Coppell) but that doesnt mean he did a bad job; Rather i had very high expectations and hopes and he failed to deliver anywhere near what i hoped for and expected of such an experienced coach. I think his win rate was very low 30s during 30 months which is so far behind even Johnson whose was about 40% 

What did Pearson do well? A number of things IMO; bringing on Scott and Pring would be high on my list. Using W-S-M (ok he inherited all three) to get as many goals as they did was to his credit. Believing in Max and Zak who have been two of our best this season would also be to Pearsons credit.

As you may not want a balanced view from an older supporter who rarely posts, i'll spare you my list of negatives.

Do i think Manning is the right person for the job? I hope so, but i really dont know. I like his calm approach, and his first signing, albeit a loan, in Twine. As others have said, to quote stats over 4 games is pointless but over a full season or two one can make a better judgement on the quality of a coach

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

The problem for me RS is that Manning’s 26/27 was Nige’s 24/25….why delay that by 2 years.  I really expected Nige to settle on the progress path this season, ready to attack promotion next season.

FWIW I expect Manning to give it a shot next season too.  He doesn’t get 3 years / x windows.  He came in on firm foundations ready for a push.  I didn’t expect it this season.

 

Yep. All I was trying to say was that in reality I think it could be a timeline of Manning’s contract. I agree, I think it took NP longer to build and he was a year behind, because it was a bigger mess than he envisaged and how hard it was to get rid of the big wage contracts still on the books.

Such is the nature of the Championship you can never rule out everything aligning, few injuries, etc. and we have dream season next year. But I think it is going to take sometime to instill that consistency in the playing squad unless he can get in some key players in, with a decent amount of financial backing.

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5 hours ago, MelksRed said:

Must admit, I used to rush back to the car post match to listen to NP's view on the game. Haven't listened to a single LM pre / post game chat....its almost an unconscious 'not my coach' position - we have times where we look really positive going forward....but it takes an age to get going. Feel like it's returned to a comfortable environment, the lack of team depth means that selection is all but guaranteed for some....where are the motivators?

Need some igniting and exciting football, accurate, fast moving to get a crowd going. Taking 3 passes to cover the ground that 1 could have only to play backward (sometimes all the way back to MOL) and concede that ground is not only wasting effort but frustrating to watch

Not intended as a negative post - more a how I see / feel things are.  

I was saying exactly the same before the game yesterday, there are so many times a pass is on but we over play it a lose the opportunity 

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7 minutes ago, The Journalist said:

As you say, while all the footbally stats are pretty similar, one bit I would be interested in is the average age of the starting XIs fielded in the first part of the season compared to under Manning.

It feels to me like we’re fielding more experienced teams with fewer minutes for some of our academy players, but I may be wrong…

I’m not sure there will be a marked difference, and for avoidance of skewing things you probably need to take the injury crisis Cardiff game out. It’s pretty much the same squad - maybe Bell getting less minutes but to counter that Cornick getting less. You’d also have to remember that Tommy was injured under Nige and Wells playing so there’s a 10+ year swing there already.

The big differences are clearly Yeboah dropping out of the squad and not filling the bench with academy players, and going with 8 subs instead. Average age though I’d guess will be pretty similar in terms of the starting lineup.

(NB - One of my lower concerns with LM is youth usage. He made the same comments at Oxford “look to the academy” as he did on appointment here but didn’t bring any through. If the average age does go up as your instinct it’d crystallise that)

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4 minutes ago, phantom said:

I was saying exactly the same before the game yesterday, there are so many times a pass is on but we over play it a lose the opportunity 

It's about bravery / willingness to back ourselves......we have a 'safety first' / possession based approach which (normally) yields few opportunities (admit that this has started to change)...but, more importantly, invites teams onto us applying pressure. Whilst we look generally robust at the back......We will come undone through needless pi55ing with the ball at the back.

Millwall last minute goal is evidence of this.

Need also to be more clinical / ruthless when we have our opportunities- again, about backing ourselves.

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1 hour ago, ExiledAjax said:

I agree because for me the reason that 2024/25 is the target season for a "push" isn't because it would have been Pearson's 4th full season in charge.

It's always been the target season because factors other than the identity of the manager align in that season. Finances, squad age, FFP freedom etc. Those things don't change when we swap from one manager to another. 

Secondly, it's the CLUB that should be aiming for a push in 24/25. That timeline should be part of the meta-plan that the directors and owners have, and managers should be recruited in order to give that plan the best chance of success.

If that's why Manning was recruited then on. But as you say, that means he should be expected to orchestrate a proper assault on the top 6 next season.

Tend to agree with this albeit some backing of NP ie one or two more signings such as thw profile in the summer then someone like Twine on top may have had a dual effect.

1) A bit more depth for when injuries hit hard especially in the Autumn to early winter.

2) A happier NP.

Both of these would've helped the side and perhaps club IMO, which may also add the boost of no necessary churn and experimentation with a new manager mid season.

ie Are we back 3 or back 4?

Is Knight deeper or higher.

Tanner and McCrorie Centreback and Wingback or Fullback.

Etc.

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6 hours ago, Tomo said:

Liam's current statistics prove that Jon and Brian were so inaccurate, claiming that we had a Top 6 squad.

 

 

Splitting hairs, maybe, but neither of them actually said that. Marshall did - but he's not the footballing man (evidently!).

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4 hours ago, FNQ said:

Actually worse 10 of those in 3 games..

The performances have been so hit and miss, the wins over Watford away especially and Boro / Hull at home were good. But bloody hell some of the others Huddersfield, Brum, Blackburn have been really poor.

Plus 2 pens.

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56 minutes ago, W-S-M Seagull said:

I think where I'm at with this is - 

As a fan, it's hard to buy into a 'rebuild' or another project when it was stated that Liam was brought in here to get the best out of the current squad through on the grass coaching. 

Also, most of us probably felt as if a rebuild or another project wasn't needed. Just evolution. 

I hear people saying he needs his own players etc. But I don't know. Surely he needs to adapt to the players hes got? 

This team is better than 1 goal in 4 league games. 

What's currently going round in my mind is, if Manning continues to not get the best out of this squad, how can we be sure that even with his own players, he will get the best out of them? 

We then may find ourselves in a position where we once again have to have a rebuild of the rebuild. 

I can understand that as a long suffering fan myself, to some extent. But the statements made about ‘best squad we’ve had since I’ve been here’ (JL) and don’t want this season to just stumble along is not Mannings fault. It’s on the heads of those who told the fans this and will have to ultimately justify these things if it doesn’t deliver.

LM has to do a lot to convince me he was the right choice. But he’s got to be given time, that to me looks patently obvious with the inconsistency in our performances.

The time scale management and its communication to the fan base  is all down to the Board.

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Under NP especially, was there any indication we would or should be returning to a back 3?

Not sure if it is the best course of action..by all means in-game switches especially with Naismith able to either drop or slot into the deepest point between midfield and defence but that aside Idk.

We spent the best part of a year going 4-3-3 or some version of this, possibly recruiting for that too.

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10 minutes ago, italian dave said:

Splitting hairs, maybe, but neither of them actually said that. Marshall did - but he's not the footballing man (evidently!).

Sorry, they both said we have a squad capable of being at the top end of the table and we didn't want to wait until the end of the season for that so we acted now.

Complete bollox.

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1 hour ago, ChrisJ said:

I recon there are definitely some of our fan base all be it small who want us to lose games just so they can say Nige was right etc - I’m not saying everyone just a ver minor number! And for what it’s worth I don’t think manning is the next big thing or the next sir Alex but he needs time!!! That is not an unreasonable expectation so he can stamp his footprint on the side. I have no issue with anyone saying what they think however some people here are being slightly unrealistic!!! 

I dont think ive picked up any hints that posters want the team to lose, any posts you can point to?

Talking about fans being unrealistic  what do you say about the hype spouted by Tinnion and Lansdown about the ability of the squad (minus Twine and any other newbies) and where they saw that squad sitting in the table?

If you reckon that they spoke bullshit, but its ok because they can change goalposts and barefaced lie to justify a dismissal then dont be surprised if their front man gets judged on what he does THIS season.

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29 minutes ago, Cole Not Gas said:

As you may not want a balanced view from an older supporter who rarely posts, i'll spare you my list of negatives.

Spot the contradiction 🤷🏻‍♂️🤷🏻‍♂️🤷🏻‍♂️

As per my earlier post, what marked improvements have you seen under Manning?

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

Absolute effing horseshit. 😡😡😡 Sane as the other poster who alluded to that who I’ve forgotten…pillred was it?

Nobody wants him to fail.

You are not taking into account the situation that Manning came into.  A well executed rebuild by Nige.  Therefore the expectations of time it will take to move us forward is lessened.

Holden didn’t get time did he?

I’m happy with Manning, but imho, I’ve seen a lot of smoke blown up his arse without much substance.  As you’ll know I’m massively into my stats.  They show very little to justify anything other than we pass the ball a bit more, we block a bit more than press.  The fundamentals of goals, quality of chances both for and against are remarkably similar.  I’d summarise my 13 game view, as we are playing a bit differently for the same results.

I’m happy with that.  I do expect the trend to start going up at some point this season though.  The replacement of Nige with LM wasn’t to stand still, was it?  It was ridiculous to point at promotion, admittedly.  But somewhere in between???

I get the impression all these comments about “wanting the club to fail or being anti Manning” is simply the modern way of arguing, it’s called shutting down the argument. Rather than discussing things properly, just throw out a few generalisations. 
 

In this conversation, given it’s discussing LMs lack of roaring success, where it would be easy to do so, I don’t think I’ve read anyone saying their anti Manning, yes a few anti JL and BT, but certainly not anti club as Cole not Gas alluded to.  
 

Honestly it does get a bit old, when mentioning NP in any positive light, automatically means you’re anti Manning. 
It is actually possible to have slightly nuanced opinions about NP and LM without the need to be anti either. 
 

We all knew we weren’t a top six side, so stepping back now and basically accepting that we’re starting again, seems the only sane path to take. As many new managers do, he’s come in and wants to sweep clean, rather than necessarily building on what we already were. It’s going to be a long road….again. 

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2 minutes ago, JP Hampton said:

I get the impression all these comments about “wanting the club to fail or being anti Manning” is simply the modern way of arguing, it’s called shutting down the argument. Rather than discussing things properly, just throw out a few generalisations. 
 

In this conversation, given it’s discussing LMs lack of roaring success, where it would be easy to do so, I don’t think I’ve read anyone saying their anti Manning, yes a few anti JL and BT, but certainly not anti club as Cole not Gas alluded to.  
 

Honestly it does get a bit old, when mentioning NP in any positive light, automatically means you’re anti Manning. 
It is actually possible to have slightly nuanced opinions about NP and LM without the need to be anti either. 
 

We all knew we weren’t a top six side, so stepping back now and basically accepting that we’re starting again, seems the only sane path to take. As many new managers do, he’s come in and wants to sweep clean, rather than necessarily building on what we already were. It’s going to be a long road….again. 

Good post JPH, but…

…we shouldn’t be “starting again”.

That is as unnecessary and the hierarchy comments on sacking / appointing.

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4 hours ago, ray savino said:

LM was given a 3.5 year contract wasn’t he? 
 

Year One (and this season the half year!) Next Season 24/25

I would suspect that he will need a turnover of squad to accommodate players that will perform more comfortably in the roles he wants for his team. Plus a pre-season of coaching on the grass, I reckon we’re going to see next season as the one of change not challenge the top.

Year Two Season 25/26

I would expect we should have a squad and team looking like it is challenging for play-offs.

Year Three Season 26/27

Serious challengers for promotion via play-offs or even auto. (Plus 10 year anniversary celebration of our defeat of Manchester United).

Whether I’m happy about the timescale as a fan is immaterial (unless of course performances don’t markedly improve consistently to give us fans real belief - thereby potential for drop off in attendances). That is all up to the owners and what they need to invest again to back the manager.

Given that it would appear that there won’t be risky huge amounts of cash to spend for a quick go at success and the sort of young players to develop that we seem to want to sign, then inevitably it looks like another significant amount of time and patience that we are going to have to have before we have a tangible squad to become one of the favourites for top six and not just an optimistic outside bet/dark horse.

If Manning doesn’t come up to scratch in this time, or he does and is poached by a bigger club, I would at least hope that the changes the club have decided to make will would mean they would stick to their strategy and appoint a replacement that would suit the style and properly have a succession plan.

Meanwhile if we can’t win trophies or get promotion, let’s hope we can see more performances with the passion and commitment we saw in the cup games, starting on Friday.

You do realise the average length of tenure for a Manager in the Championship is 10 months.

The change was made to improve our chances of promotion THIS season.

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30 minutes ago, Mr Popodopolous said:

Under NP especially, was there any indication we would or should be returning to a back 3?

Not sure if it is the best course of action..by all means in-game switches especially with Naismith able to either drop or slot into the deepest point between midfield and defence but that aside Idk.

We spent the best part of a year going 4-3-3 or some version of this, possibly recruiting for that too.

Will Naismith stay here? Is he one the LM will want to play?

I suspect he'll be on his way in summer.

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1 minute ago, Davefevs said:

Good post JPH, but…

…we shouldn’t be “starting again”.

That is as unnecessary and the hierarchy comments on sacking / appointing.

I couldn’t agree more, we shouldn’t be and agree it’s perfectly clear that the comments/reasons/excuses around sacking and appointing were complete nonsense, but starting again (it seems to me) is what appears to be happening. 

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2 hours ago, ChrisJ said:

Yes well said the club shot itself in the foot with its comms we don’t have a top 6 squad so why say it!!!! Took us for fools. I actually don’t have issue with the NP decision and I understand why they got manning look at other champ clubs they are all doing it Millwall, Swansea, Plymouth Sheff Wed QPR seem to be all the rage now and they all need time!!!!

Sunderland, Birmingham how's that going ?

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2 minutes ago, ChrisJ said:

I can give a handful of things that I have seen. I think we have been better on the ball playing between the 3rds, I don’t think that has been the case every week though. Pring is getting forward more because bell ain’t on the left closing space…..Mehmeti has been looking more dangerous and playing better and Williams looks a completely different player. I think under Pearson it was dour mostly and I will say that under manning it hasn’t been much better dour as well mostly but I am seeing what we are trying to do. 

Spot on. Am convinced anyone who can’t see it either watches on tv or has never played football before. We were pretty much exclusively a threat from set pieces or long throws under Pearson. 
 

Got people asking if it coincidence we have had 3 penalties in 15 games under LM and went over a whole season without on under NP. Not coincidence at all. We are much sharper in the final third. Tommy Conway getting a 1v1 with the keeper nearly every game now. Also not coincidence. 
 

Unfortunately mate, you are arguing with a bunch of dinosaurs that are stuck in 1991. More in love with the bloke NP than the manager. The board actually getting things right and it is the most negative on here as I have ever seen it. Have someone now actually on the grass and you only hear great things from the players yet they know better on here. 

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2 minutes ago, Davefevs said:

Good post JPH, but…

…we shouldn’t be “starting again”.

That is as unnecessary and the hierarchy comments on sacking / appointing.

But it’s now inevitable isn’t it.

The players which have been previously recruited have been recruited to play out of possession, on the break etc….

We could not have picked a manager with a more different approach. It’s absolute insanity and goes against everything we have been told previously about head coaches being able to come in and not needing to rip it all up.

This isn’t a dig at LM btw, I actually quite like him (as do the players I believe) but like it or not, we’re now going to have to go through another period of transition.

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3 minutes ago, JoeAman08 said:

Spot on. Am convinced anyone who can’t see it either watches on tv or has never played football before. We were pretty much exclusively a threat from set pieces or long throws under Pearson. 

Seriously???

Where did all our chances come from yesterday?  Set-pieces or press.

In recent games it’s been from transition. Not from build-up.

Thats a bad take Joe! 🤷🏻‍♂️

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12 minutes ago, JP Hampton said:

We all knew we weren’t a top six side, so stepping back now and basically accepting that we’re starting again, seems the only sane path to take. As many new managers do, he’s come in and wants to sweep clean, rather than necessarily building on what we already were. It’s going to be a long road….again. 

 

 

Neither were Coventry or Luton, but they both got to the play off final. 

Why do we have to start again and why do we need to accept that we're starting again? 

Why should Manning be allowed to sweep clean? Why can't he just build upon what we have? 

Surely if he has to do that, he is the wrong choice? 

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9 minutes ago, JP Hampton said:

I couldn’t agree more, we shouldn’t be and agree it’s perfectly clear that the comments/reasons/excuses around sacking and appointing were complete nonsense, but starting again (it seems to me) is what appears to be happening. 

But just because it appears to be happening, doesn't mean we as fans should just roll over and accept that and be patient whilst it happens. 

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11 minutes ago, cidered abroad said:

Will Naismith stay here? Is he one the LM will want to play?

I suspect he'll be on his way in summer.

I actually think that *when fit*, that he is best suited to the switching in-game between a back 3 and 4 on our books currently.

*=This of course is hugely caveated by his availability.

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We all know/knew it’s never a top 6 squad, I don’t know why this keep getting quoted, it obvious spin & repeating is as preposterous as the statement itself.

Change of coach was never going to revolutionise our season - I can’t imagine anyone thought for a minute it would.

But I think we can all agree there are green shoots with Liam & more importantly the board like him so he will be backed which is good for us as fans.

 

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